Tag Archives: DAX

Germany: opportunities in slower pace

Germany is in the heart of Europe and is also somehow a heart for the European economy. The Great Recession experienced since 2007 affected deeply the European Union. In the middle of the discussions amongst the EU partners, Germany has imposed its strength with austerity to control public budgets. But today the receipt shows to be not necessary the best, as some experts speaks about a third recession in Europe. The warning comes from the weak figures in Germany.

The main European economy is very well monitored: there are several indexes about business or consumers climate. The most famous are IFO and GfK. Let’s see the business climate: there has been a worsening this year.

IFO business climate chart

A cough in Germany means an illness in the rest of the European countries. Germany has a strong industry and export branch. Chemicals, carmakers, electronics… are some of the main sectors. What is happening in the German stock exchange while the country is living these negative signs?: T-Advisor global trends tool shows that only a 9% of the listed companies are bullish this week.

T-Advisor global trend chart for Germany

DAX index, the German selective index in the stock exchange, shows that the main winners this year are chemicals (Fresenius, Merck and Bayer). Financials has only a representative (Commerzbank) as the branch does not experience its best year.

T-advisor DAX winners

On the opposite, the weakest equities are financials (Deutsche Bank and Deutsche Boerse), the national airline Lufthansa and two industrial companies, one of them related to consumers (Adidas).

T-Advisor DAX losers

Investment opportunities in Germany are still high although economic figures tend to be negative. T-Advisor has a steady model portfolio with German stocks rebalanced every second month. The portfolio had never losses. These are the main data from it:

T-Advisor Germany model portfolio

It is possible that Germany experiences again hard times, but investors have to look into the market with high-quality tools to find the best opportunities. T-Advisor monitors deeply the German market to provide this service.

T-Advisor ranking: the best in Q1

How was the first quarter of the year for your investments? T-Advisor publishes its ranking with the best stocks in the main world indexes taking into account its score. T-Advisor score is a specific tool developed by our company. It is calculated combining several ratios, mainly performance and risks.

New York Dow Jones Industrial Average has the following best stocks ranked by our score:

Score

Perf. Q1

Volatility

VaR day

VaR week

Walt Disney

9.4

6.76%

18.17%

-1.84%

-3.11%

Du Pont de Nemours

8.85

4.29%

17.07%

-1.85%

-3.52%

Unitedhealth

8.6

8.68%

19.54%

-1.96%

-5.07%

American Express

8.3

0.48%

18.51%

-1.97%

-4.95%

Microsoft

8.26

10.71%

26.28%

-2.13%

-5.45%

The ranking shows the richness of the American economy: there are companies from very different branches, as cinema, technology, health, finances or chemicals.

FTSE 100 in London has the following best stocks ranked by our score:

Score

Perf. Q1

Volatility

VaR day

VaR week

Weir Group

9.81

17.57%

25.55%

-2.77%

-4.34%

Bunzl

9.76

10.77%

14.16%

-1.34%

-2.30%

Kingfisher

9.73

11.80%

22.44%

-1.92%

-4.35%

Whitbread

9.65

12.87%

19.21%

-2.08%

-3.30%

Next

9.22

22.56%

16.81%

-1.54%

-2.22%

Surprisingly, the best scores in London are linked to companies from retail, consumer and essential supplies.

DAX 30 in Germany has the following best stocks ranked by our score:

Score

Perf. Q1

Volatility

VaR day

VaR week

Infineon Technology

9.87

13.71%

27.19%

-2.65%

-6.11%

BMW

9.63

8.06%

25.70%

-1.93%

-5.26%

Continental

9.22

10.79%

23.87%

-2.32%

-6.20%

Lanxess

8.75

14.03%

31.61%

-2.96%

-8.27%

Daimler AG

8.22

10.89%

27.41%

-2.30%

-5.88%

German technology, chemicals and car branches are at the top of our ranking.

IBEX 35 in Spain has the following best stocks ranked by our score:

Score

Perf. Q1

Volatility

VaR day

VaR week

Jazztel

10

41.85%

22.22%

-2.05%

-3.72%

Grifols

8.66

15.80%

22.24%

-2.32%

-4.90%

Grupo Ferrovial

8.62

12.94%

19.71%

-1.65%

-5.16%

Bankinter

8.31

19.33%

33.46%

-3.44%

-7.30%

Red Eléctrica

8.14

21.87%

23.32%

-1.74%

-4.52%

In Spain, Jazztel is at the very top profiting the consolidation in the telecommunication branch in this country. The performance of this share anticipates a possible merge with other company.

The February best performers in the main markets

February has been considered a traditionally unstable month for the markets. This year winds blow for a positive trend and the main markets performed over 5%. American Nasdaq closed February with 3.696 points, a 7,43% more than in the beginning of the month. In Europe, German DAX was near 9.700 points, exactly 9.692, a 5,5% more, while London FTSE beat the 6.800 points bar, till 6.809, a 5,32% more.

T-Advisor compiled the best performers in February in this reference indexes. In Nasdaq, the three more successful were Alexion Pharma, Mylan Laboratories and Facebook. All of them multiplied at least three times the index performance.

Perf. Month

Perf. YTD Score Volatility

VaR week

Alexion Pharma

32.92%

33.05% 10 37.7%

-7.18%

Mylan Laboratories

24.32%

28.04% 10 25.57%

-3.42%

Facebook

24.16%

25.25% 8.29 43.9%

-6.08%

In London, the three best companies in February were Kazakhmys, Fresnillo and Weir Group. All of them beat at least four times the index performance.

Perf. Month

Perf. YTD Score Volatility

VaR week

Kazakhmys

70.71%

38.71% 8.2 57.76%

-13.52%

Fresnillo

26.7%

27.63% 8.2 50.91%

-13.77%

Weir Group

21.72%

20.4% 9.8 27.28%

-6.33%

In Frankfurt, the best performers were Infineon Technologies, Continental and Lanxess. In this case, this companies only doubled the index performance.

Perf. Month

Perf. YTD Score Volatility

VaR week

Infineon Tech

11.37%

5.93% 8.93 26.93%

-6.14%

Continental

10.7%

10.63% 9.48 23.76%

-5.25%

Lanxess

9.53%

10.94% 7.93 32.48%

-9.08%

Chemicals (Alexion, Mylan, Lanxess), commodity producers and linked industries (Kazakhmus, Fresnillo, Weir Group), technology companies (Facebook, Infineon) and the automotive manufacturer Continental dominated as the best performers in February.